The-Pulse - חדשות הדופק של ישראל

הכלכלנים מופתעים מעליית המדד: עליית מחירי הדירות מגבילה את כוח הקנייה

"מדד המחירים לחודש יולי הפתיע בעלייה מתונה מהצפוי של 0.5%, ובניכוי העלאות המיסים הממשלתיות המדד עלה בכ-0.3% בלבד. למרות ההפתעה במדד זה, התמונה הכוללת אינה מפתיעה ותואמת את הערכתנו לקצב אינפלציה מתון במשק הישראלי" אומר רפי גוזלן, אסטרטג המאקרו של לידר שוקי הון

כלים

"בוודאי שביחס להערכות הקיימות בשוק ההון.גם מדד זה ממשיך להצביע על השונות שבין ההתפתחויות בשוק הדיור לבין יתר המוצרים. למעשה מדובר בשינוי מחירים יחסי ולא באינפלציה כך שעליית מחירי הדירות מגבילה את כוח הקנייה של הצרכנים ליתר המוצרים." מוסיף גוזלן.

לדבריו "לפיכך, בנק ישראל יכול למצוא לכאורה נחמה במדד הנמוך מהציפיות, אך בנוגע לשוק הדיור המציאות פחות נעימה עם המשך עלייה במחירי הדירות בקצב של למעלה מ-20%. התפתחות זו תומכת בהמשך צעדים מרסנים ספציפיים לשוק הנדל"ן על חשבון העלאות ריבית."

Tags:

בנק ישראל

הריבית במשק

לידר שוקי הון

מחירי הדירות

משבר הדיור

רפי גוזלן

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